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This category contains 17 posts
chart of 821x model trade idea: YRD

821x buy: YRD

(watch video below for market recap and trade details)

YRD – buy with a limit price of $23.38  (SUGGESTED SELL SIGNALS TO COME VIA TWITTER)

Other 821x buy ideas:

IBTX – buy with a limit price of $63.70
BZUN – buy with a limit price of $13.57
CMA – buy with a limit price of $68.49
CCBG – buy with a limit price of $20.81
HDS – buy with a limit price of $42.64
OSIS – buy with a limit price of $74.90
MTSI – buy with a limit price of $47.68

 

Remember, I only track one 821x model trade at a time for educational purposes.  IT NEVER MAKES SENSE TO PUT YOUR WHOLE ACCOUNT INTO A SINGLE TRADE.  Please refer to the section on position sizing in the 821x Trading Manual.

Please read the terms of service.
candlestick chart of MTCH (Match Group)

821x buy: MTCH

(watch video below for market recap and trade details)

MTCH – buy with a limit price of $18.03

Other 821x buy ideas:
BCO – buy with a limit price of $42.15
SQM – buy with a limit price of $41.65
SCCO – buy with a limit price of $33.49
NTES – buy with a limit price of $226.96
HEAR – buy with a limit price of $1.49



Remember, I only track one 821x model trade at a time for educational purposes.  IT NEVER MAKES SENSE TO PUT YOUR WHOLE ACCOUNT INTO A SINGLE TRADE.  Please refer to the section on position sizing in the 821x Trading Manual.

Please read the terms of service.

 

 

picture of sunset in aguada, puerto rico

821x sell: LITE

If you followed the sell suggestion in my tweet on December 29th, you should be completely out of LITE now.  (BTW, because it’s more timely than a post, I’m planning to publish my sell suggestions solely on Twitter going forward, so be sure to follow me @marketchameleon.)

Although, the weekly chart still looks good, we trade using the daily time frame where the trade went against us.  The last thing we want to do is get stubborn and start rationalizing a reason to hold.  That said, you may want to keep an eye on it to see if it flashes a compelling 821x buy signal in the future.

daily candlestick chart of LITE

the big picture still looks good, but I don’t want to let a small paper cut turn into a gusher…

In the meantime, enjoy the festivities tonight and see you next year.  Happy New Year!

 

chart of ticker LITE

821x buy: LITE

(watch video below for market recap and trade details)

LITE – buy with a limit price of $40.50 (sell recommendations will be provided via Twitter.

Other 821x buy ideas:

domestic equities:
BCO – buy with a limit price of $42.15
ASTE – buy with a limit price of $67.84
EGRX – buy with a limit price of ~$79

Remember, I only track one 821x model trade at a time for educational purposes.  IT NEVER MAKES SENSE TO PUT YOUR WHOLE ACCOUNT INTO A SINGLE TRADE.  Please refer to the section on position sizing in the 821x Trading Manual.

Please read the terms of service.
oclr

821x buy: OCLR

(watch video below for market recap and trade details)

OCLR – buy with a limit price of $8.38

Other 821x buy ideas:

domestic equities:
IPHI – buy with a limit price of $41.96
PCH – buy with a limit price of $39.25
TCX – buy with a limit price of $30.95
MPWR – buy with a limit price of $79.29
CGNX – buy with a limit price of $54.88

Remember, I only track one 821x model trade at a time for educational purposes.  IT NEVER MAKES SENSE TO PUT YOUR WHOLE ACCOUNT INTO A SINGLE TRADE.  Please refer to the section on position sizing in the 821x Trading Manual.

Please read the terms of service.
img_4317-1280x719

821x sell: NTG

It’s been a good run, but the sun has set on our model trade.  As my family and I are out in the hill country of western Puerto Rico housesitting and taking care of our friend’s animals we received an 821x sell signal in NTG today.  Even though it appears to be oversold in the short term, I recommend selling AT LEAST half to lock in our hard fought 6% gain, which includes the fat dividend we received in August.  If you decide to hold half, I would sell it if NTG closes even one penny below yesterday’s low of $19.03.

doesn't look good but it is outside the bollinger bands...

doesn’t look good but it is outside the bollinger bands…

As far as the market as a whole, it’s at a crossroads right now.  The violent pullback of the last few days could be nothing more than a healthy retest of the breakout zone before the next leg higher.  On the other hand, we might be witnessing the beginnings of a failed breakout which could lead to a fast move lower.  Let’s continue to monitor price action for clues and stay flexible.  In the meantime, the proper course of action is to honor the sell signals in your individual holdings to both lock in profits/limit losses and raise cash.

healthy retest or failed breakout?

healthy retest or failed breakout?

After I get situated back at my place later this month, I will make a video with a new official model trade.  For now, I have a handful of 821x trade ideas that I hope you find helpful.  Have a good week!

SUPN – buy with a limit price of $22.51
ADS – buy with a limit price of $213.21
XBI – buy with a limit price of $63.54 (biotech ETF)

Inverse ETFs: (I would NOT get aggressive with these)
EFZ – buy with a limit price of $32.36 (short European stocks)
SH – buy with a limit price of $38.86 (short the S&P 500)

Remember, I only track one 821x model trade at a time for educational purposes.  IT NEVER MAKES SENSE TO PUT YOUR WHOLE ACCOUNT INTO A SINGLE TRADE.  Please refer to the section on position sizing in the 821x Trading Manual.

Please read the terms of service.
bullriding2

how to ride a bull

After a year long consolidation, the market has broken out to new highs.  As I’ve mentioned before, we have to take seriously the possibility that the post Brexit shakeout ushered in a new bull market (or a resumption of the bull market that started in 2009 depending on how you look at it).  A bumpy ride higher, north of 2,400 in the S&P 5000, seems quite reasonable.

 

beginnings of new bull run?

bull market breakout?

So how do we ride this potential bull?  Sure we can buy an ETF that tracks the S&P 500 like SPY, but that would only yield average results.  To generate alpha we need to actively put together and manage a basket of above average stocks that will outperform passive index funds.

One of the most common questions I get is, “What stocks should I buy?”  Well, no matter how much I believe in a company I would NEVER put a blanket buy recommendation on ANY stock.  I only want to buy a stock when it looks like it’s ready for an IMMEDIATE move higher and there is a stop loss level close by to limit risk.  I call the system I use help me identify these optimal entry points 821x.

When I want to add a new position to my portfolio, I scan HUNDREDS of charts looking for 821x buy signals and only enter the very best looking setups.  Some of the watchlists I scan through are from paid services and others I have built myself.  However, I am going to share with you two of my favorite watchlists that are completely FREE.  Both of these lists are focused on companies that are expected to experience above average earnings growth, which is a great place to put our money in a bull market environment.

IIC 100 – the Sharp Traders site has a wealth of resources on it, but the IIC 100 in particular is a go-to list for me that I review EVERY weekend.

IBD 50 – you have to subscribe to Investors Business Daily to gain access to the most up-to-date IBD 50, however, you can get a decent idea of what’s on the list for free by checking the holdings of the FFTY ETF.

Riding these stocks is actually a lot like riding a real bull.  You are likely to take plenty of bumps and bruises along the way when a trade doesn’t play out the way you hoped it would.  You’ll also likely experience the frustration of getting “bucked off” a big winner before it makes it’s run like we did in OMN and we almost did in NTG.  If it was easy, then everyone would be doing it.  However, if you do your homework and follow your trading system, you’ll come out of this bull run with a lot more money than you had beforehand.

KGC

821x buy: KGC (or NTG)

(watch video below for market recap and trade details)

KGC – buy with a limit price of $5.19

(If KGC does not get filled we will track NTG instead:)

NTG – buy with a limit price of $18.56

Other 821x buy ideas:

Domestic equities and ETFs:
FN – buy with a limit price of $36.27
PRMW – buy with a limit price of $11.49
IIIN – buy with a limit price of $38.74
MLM – buy with a limit price of $189.13
CDK – buy with a limit price of $55.85
CRTO – buy with a limit price of $45.63
SMH – buy with a limit price of $56.59 (semiconductor ETF)
XLE – buy with a limit price of $68.24 (energy sector ETF)

International ETF (Columbia):
GXG – buy with a limit price of $9.19

High Yield Bond ETFs:
HYG – buy with a limit price of $84.47
JNK – buy with a limit price of $35.53

I only track one 821x model portfolio trade at a time for educational purposes.  Remember, IT NEVER MAKES SENSE TO PUT YOUR WHOLE ACCOUNT INTO A SINGLE TRADE.  Please refer to the section on position sizing in the 821x Trading Manual.

Please read the terms of service.

 

OMN

821x sell: OMN

(watch video below for market recap and trade details)

OMN – sell at market

Other 821x buy ideas:

ARIS – buy with a limit price of $4.17
SLX – buy with a limit price of $26.61

I only track one 821x model portfolio trade at a time for educational purposes.  Remember, IT NEVER MAKES SENSE TO PUT YOUR WHOLE ACCOUNT INTO A SINGLE TRADE.  Please refer to the section on position sizing in the 821x Trading Manual.

Please read the terms of service.
OMN

821x buy: OMN

(watch video below for market recap and trade details)

OMN – buy with a limit price of $6.92

Other 821x buy ideas:

BANC –  buy with a limit price of $19.94
PGEM – buy with a limit price of $14.92
VRTV –  buy with a limit price of $38.95
BLKB – buy with a limit price of $62.12
WYNN – buy with a limit price of $95.96
ROIC – buy with a limit price of $20.20
F – buy with a limit price of $13.45
MSFT – buy with a limit price of $52.32
SBNY – buy with a limit price of $137.38

 

 

I only track one 821x model portfolio trade at a time for educational purposes.  Remember, IT NEVER MAKES SENSE TO PUT YOUR WHOLE ACCOUNT INTO A SINGLE TRADE.  Please refer to the section on position sizing in the 821x Trading Manual.

Please read the terms of service.








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Model 821x Trade

stock quote day % change total % change
YRD
23.38